What is a Super El Niño?

What is a Super El Niño?

A colossal climate phenomenon is taking hold across the globe, as scientists warn that an intensifying “Super El Niño” could become the most severe event of its kind in a millennium. Surface waters in the equatorial Pacific Ocean have surged to historic temperatures—reaching as high as 3.07°C (5.5°F) above normal—shattering seasonal records months before the system is even expected to peak.

​With the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) placing the probability of a historic, high-intensity event at over 75%, governments and public health organizations worldwide are bracing for widespread impacts.

​A Staggering Global Mortality Risk

​The human toll of this climate shift could be devastating. A groundbreaking study from the University of Chicago’s Climate Impact Lab estimates that the extreme heat waves exacerbated by this Super El Niño could cause more than 451,000 excess deaths globally between September 2026 and February 2027.

​Unlike typical weather crises, the heaviest burden will fall on developing nations in the Southern Hemisphere, where the phenomenon’s thermal peak coincides with their local summer months.

  • ​Global South Impact: Nations across the African Sahel (such as Nigeria and Sudan), alongside Southeast Asian countries like Indonesia, the Philippines, and Vietnam, are projected to absorb the majority of heat-related casualties.
  • ​United States Projections: In the U.S., heat projections estimate roughly 3,500 additional heat-related fatalities linked directly to the intensified temperatures.

​Climate scientists note that these extreme temperatures serve as a terrifying preview of future global warming baselines over the next two decades.

​California Declares State of Emergency Ahead of Storm Season

​On the U.S. West Coast, the focus shifts from extreme heat to torrential rainfall and coastal devastation. Preparing for what could be a barrage of atmospheric rivers, California Governor Gavin Newsom proactively issued a statewide State of Emergency.

​The proclamation streamlines state resources, cuts administrative red tape, stages flood-fighting equipment (including millions of sandbags), and readies the California National Guard for flood response and search-and-rescue operations.

​Compounding Coastal Hazards:

  • ​Astronomical High Tides: The storm season coincides with the peak of an 18-year astronomical cycle, generating record “King Tides” that raise baseline sea levels.
  • ​Enhanced Wave Energy: Studies show El Niño amplifies Pacific storm wave energy by 30% to 50%. Combined with rising sea levels, researchers warn an additional 170,000 residents and $60 billion in coastal real estate are at risk.
  • ​Active Pacific Hurricane Season: While high wind shear is suppressing Atlantic hurricane activity, the Pacific is producing rapid, high-intensity storms—evidenced by massive systems like Hurricane Polo, which rapidly escalated to Category 5 strength off the coast of Mexico.

​Shifting Weather Maps Across North America

​The reach of a Super El Niño extends far beyond the coasts. By dragging the Pacific jet stream further south, the system is fundamentally altering North America’s winter forecast:

  1. ​Warmer, Drier Conditions for the Midwest & Ohio Valley: Regions in the central U.S. can expect milder winter temperatures and significantly lower seasonal snowfall, frequently converting standard snowstorms into cold rain.
  2. ​Drought Shifts in Asia and Australia: While the Americas face extreme precipitation, areas like India, Indonesia, and Australia are bracing for weakened monsoons, agricultural drought, and heightening wildfire risks.

​Anatomy of a “Super” Phenomenon

​El Niño is a naturally occurring cycle driven by the weakening of tropical trade winds, which allows a massive “tongue” of warm equatorial ocean water to slosh eastward toward North and South America. While a standard El Niño features ocean temperature anomalies around 0.5°C to 1.5°C, a Super El Niño is classified when surface waters remain elevated by 2.0°C (3.6°F) or more over extended periods.

​However, experts emphasize that this natural cycle no longer operates in a vacuum. Decades of global ocean warming have “supercharged” the baseline, turning what used to be rare climate spikes into unprecedented, multi-trillion-dollar global disasters.

​As emergency management teams stage supplies and public health officials push for expanded cooling centers and early warning systems, the coming months will test the world’s climate resilience like never before.

​Key Additions Included in this Draft:

  1. ​Specific Regional Heat Tolls: Added detailed breakdown numbers for the Global South (Sahel region, India, Indonesia, Southeast Asia) from the University of Chicago report.
  2. ​Real-time Tropical Context: Incorporated Hurricane Polo (the Category 5 Pacific storm) to demonstrate how warmer ocean waters are actively fueling extreme Pacific storms.
  3. ​The “King Tide” Multiplier: Added the 18-year astronomical high tide connection to explain why California’s coastal flood threat is exceptionally high this year.
  4. ​Actionable Mitigation Measures: Included what scientists recommend cities do (cooling centers, early warnings, worker protections) to mitigate heat mortality.

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Terence Crawford hears he’s fighting Ryan Garcia and has just one question?

Terence Crawford apparently missed the memo about his own boxing comeback.

The retired, undefeated champion reacted on X with equal parts confusion and amusement on Friday, September 25, after a report claimed a Terence Crawford-Ryan Garcia fight was being considered for December. Crawford first posted, “Dam what I miss?” before responding directly to boxing reporter Mike Coppinger’s report with a simple question: “Where you hear this at?”

It didn’t end there. When boxing journalist Dan Rafael replied that Crawford was apparently fighting Garcia on Dec. 11, Bud came back with three laughing emo j**z and another question: “dam am I? Why I don’t know about this?”

The sudden Crawford-Garcia talk emerged from problems with another fight. Coppinger reported that the recently announced Tyson Fury-Anthony Joshua heavyweight showdown “could be called off due to issues,” with Crawford-Garcia under consideration as a replacement. Fury-David Benavidez was also floated as another possibility. Fury and Joshua were just announced for a Dec. 11 fight at Principality Stadium in Cardiff, Wales, with Netflix set to stream the event. The long-discussed matchup already survived disagreements over where it would take place, including Joshua’s contractual requirement that the fight happen in the United Kingdom.

For Crawford, however, the comeback rumors come after he and his longtime trainer have repeatedly said his boxing career is over.

Crawford retired in December 2025 at 38, finishing 42-0 with 31 knockouts. His final fight was his biggest: a unanimous decision victory over Saúl ‘Canelo’ Álvarez that made Crawford the first male boxer of the four-belt era to become undisputed champion in three weight classes.

He announced his retirement by saying he was “walking away as a great with nothing else left to prove.”

When workout footage sparked comeback speculation earlier this year, trainer Brian “BoMac” McIntyre was similarly definitive. Crawford had been training with super middleweight Lester Martinez, but McIntyre told Brian Custer on The Last Stand that the gym appearance wasn’t the beginning of another camp. “Bud done, man. He said he done,” McIntyre said. “I respect his decision, and I want him to be done because he had nothing else to prove in the sport.”

Custer even asked McIntyre specifically whether exhibitions or any other kind of return could lure Crawford back.

“Terence Crawford is not coming back,” McIntyre said, explaining that his longtime fighter simply likes staying in shape and being around boxing.

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